Negative-Mood
0x1532d043381ace8356b0cce72b5010720fcc650d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$340.88
Total PnL
$-29.90
Realised
$24.17
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
166 shares @ 40.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$161.34
$94.39
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$100.00
$36.00
- NO
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?
79 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.83
$3.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
2 shares @ 90.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.71
$0.00
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?
896 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-58.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $480b and $490b on December 31?
459 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.92
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
200 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-91.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: December
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 17?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$5.58Apr 8, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$1.94Mar 25, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$2.00Mar 5, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$0.36Feb 10, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $470b and $480b on December 31?$0.62Jan 1, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $440b and $450b on December 31?$0.64Jan 1, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?$0.70Jan 1, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $460b and $470b on December 31?$0.76Jan 1, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $450b and $460b on December 31?$0.77Jan 1, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?$1.37Jan 1, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?$199.99Jan 1, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 23?$20.00Dec 24, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?$41.92Dec 21, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.2KDec 21, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.2KDec 21, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$173.60Dec 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?$3.1KDec 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?$258.65Dec 21, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?$190.93Dec 21, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$10.10Dec 21, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $367.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".