Scientific-Doubter
0x1537ed4d534ec88634af690b9b03145dbcaec480
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$16.0K
Total PnL
$17.9K
Realised
$19.8K
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12613 shares @ 3.1¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.0K
$3.6K
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
67411 shares @ 2.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.5K
$2.1K
- NO
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?
2374 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.4K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
62111 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.5K
$166.27
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
56937 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.4K
$-90.99
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
68311 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$990.50
$-508.98
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
67411 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$775.22
$-703.90
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
68311 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$375.71
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
82611 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$330.44
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
82611 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$123.92
$-1.7K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$11.17May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 17, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$645.71May 17, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$470.00May 17, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 17, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$373.95May 17, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$202.84May 17, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$260.00May 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$108.33May 17, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.83May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.42May 17, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$21.67May 17, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.08May 17, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.97May 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.42May 17, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.12May 17, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$873.35May 17, 04:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.93May 17, 00:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.64May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$478.50May 14, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $294.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".