Costly-Challenge
0x153b6f7e3f8b46ccc4481101a48f86e5fa2c654c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
170
Open notional
$645.47
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 170- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
292 shares @ 88.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$278.47
$19.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET
100 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$100.00
$3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
70 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$70.00
$2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
70 shares @ 87.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$70.00
$8.61
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$38.75
$-4.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$20.00
$1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$20.00
$0.20
- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$20.00
$0.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
20 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$20.00
$1.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
30 shares @ 59.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$8.25
$-9.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$19.79May 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$18.47May 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$19.79May 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$17.60May 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$18.88May 18, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$19.63May 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$18.50May 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$19.80May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$43.98May 18, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$17.94May 18, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$7.53May 18, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$49.07May 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$19.07May 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$16.42May 18, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET$0.00May 18, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00May 18, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$0.00May 18, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.00May 18, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00May 18, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.00May 18, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $22.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".