Respectful-Opinion
0x1540df65c12eccbe2bc43d0491478ee732d65204
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$208.94
Total PnL
$2.63
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.75
$-0.08
- NO
Will Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
52 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$50.67
$-0.18
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
51 shares @ 94.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.46
$2.32
- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
51 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.36
$0.54
- NO
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
7 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$6.69
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$49.62May 15, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$50.29May 15, 02:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$49.83May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Lai released by June 30?$48.14May 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$50.08May 14, 13:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$49.57May 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$43.34May 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$6.89May 13, 15:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$6.68May 12, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$6.69May 12, 02:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$18.36May 11, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$24.53May 11, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$23.42May 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.23May 11, 14:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $31.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 04:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".