Concrete-Heartache
0x154271b73b40c4def24b2b0d435513bcdb97ee9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$11.38
Total PnL
$-115.21
Realised
$-2.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?
21 shares @ 22.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$6.30
$1.68
- YES
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 28.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.83
$-3.04
- YES
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.00
$-0.20
- YES
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.25
$-0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
21 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
21 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?
18 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.66
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
14 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$5.88May 15, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?$1.32May 14, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?$3.30May 14, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?$2.20May 14, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$0.10May 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$0.38May 12, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9?$3.04May 8, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9?$2.72May 8, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 5?$0.63May 5, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?$0.37May 5, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?$0.63May 5, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?$1.03May 5, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 5?$2.03May 5, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?$0.89May 5, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?$0.57May 5, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?$2.51May 4, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on May 4?$1.96May 4, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?$2.06May 4, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 4?$1.09May 4, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?$0.55May 4, 10:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".