Light-Mayonnaise
0x15433540ca3794108e602bfd353189519af8baaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$51.8K
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
15031 shares @ 47.5¢·now 56.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.5K
$1.4K
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)
7626 shares @ 50.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$7.6K
$3.8K
- OVER
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5
5005 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$5.0K
$2.6K
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
5300 shares @ 64.2¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.6K
$202.01
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
7314 shares @ 46.4¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.5K
$77.81
- OVER
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5
3043 shares @ 39.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$3.0K
$1.8K
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
4403 shares @ 67.5¢·now 67.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.0K
$11.01
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
3939 shares @ 66.5¢·now 71.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$183.62
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
8661 shares @ 54.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.7K
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
3000 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.1K
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$2.6KMay 18, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$764.42May 18, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$477.47May 18, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$467.45May 18, 00:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$25.83May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 18, 00:32 UTC
- REWARD$9.95May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$35.00May 17, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$250.00May 17, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.29May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.29May 17, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.29May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.29May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.29May 17, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.28May 17, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.29May 17, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.29May 17, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.29May 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.29May 17, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.29May 17, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $218.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".