Kosher-Icebreaker
0x154794795d978c5890b3f69264311f0bd966d066
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$28.0K
Total PnL
$714.32
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
93%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
3500 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.4K
$36.76
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3200 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$5.73
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2750 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.6K
$14.87
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3405 shares @ 76.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-275.22
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
1900 shares @ 91.1¢·now 97.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.8K
$114.75
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
1747 shares @ 77.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$57.45
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
2232 shares @ 63.4¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$-65.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$987.00
$-2.00
- YES
Chirayu Rana sued?
1323 shares @ 82.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$959.13
$-129.32
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
1000 shares @ 87.2¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$860.01
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$989.00May 18, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$111.66May 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$2.60May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$377.10May 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.2KMay 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.4KMay 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.3KMay 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$25.82May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$5.20May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$2.14May 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$45.12May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$33.74May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$16.88May 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$290.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.77May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$12.07May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$344.00May 17, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$337.83May 17, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$444.55May 17, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $339.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".