Unripe-Exhaustion
0x154e1febdde45605dc2ef3f83a2e1905d1c2911f
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-91.45
Realised
$96.45
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
265 shares @ 84.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$256.25
$31.16
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
151 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.81
$0.71
- NO
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
100 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$98.35
$2.35
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$97.85
$7.85
- NO
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$96.35
$6.35
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$95.00
$15.00
- YES
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
106 shares @ 37.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$73.60
$33.62
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
70 shares @ 77.1¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.38
$13.38
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
66 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$65.97
$9.21
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
79 shares @ 63.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.48
$15.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$12.84May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$11.33May 18, 01:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$0.60May 17, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$32.50May 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$19.49May 17, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$50.29May 17, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$26.22May 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$6.60May 17, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$50.00May 17, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$79.87May 17, 08:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$1.51May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$14.16May 16, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$50.00May 16, 13:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$30.06May 15, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$41.94May 15, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$18.00May 15, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$4.64May 15, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $17.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".