Nifty-Elicit
0x154f06e52c631a0546a24e4a50855c40a92b9a12
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$474.55
Total PnL
$-677.37
Realised
$20.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
263 shares @ 94.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$258.39
$8.57
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.50
$7.50
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
102 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$50.49
$1.53
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$28.00
$8.50
- NO
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
96 shares @ 39.4¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.57
$-12.43
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$25.50
$-16.50
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
84 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$18.45
$-1.68
- NO
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.64
$1.05
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?
618 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 10?
310 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59May 17, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$30.99May 17, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$10.00May 17, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$1.00May 17, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$1.00May 16, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$30.62May 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$11.38May 16, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$2.77May 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$18.81May 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$11.62May 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$8.30May 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI data center in space by December 31, 2027?$9.73May 15, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$17.64May 15, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$3.20May 15, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$0.64May 15, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$0.64May 15, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$1.28May 15, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$14.95May 15, 16:23 UTC
- REWARD$1.05May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$3.90May 14, 11:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".