Vigilant-Dugout
0x155e0b7e3e87a632788cd971455e9049d16e69b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$61.13
Total PnL
$-363.76
Realised
$-87.60
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
133 shares @ 49.5¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$61.13
$-4.67
- YES
Will César Acuña finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
2105 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-57.26
- YES
Will Dan Thomas be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?
1046 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-24.96
- YES
Will Clive Furness win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?
725 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
150 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-16.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
94 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
73 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
63 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
51 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-24.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$67.13May 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$67.39May 16, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.06May 14, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$88.72May 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$88.87May 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$44.65May 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$44.75May 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$40.14May 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$47.26May 13, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$77.01May 13, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$10.64May 9, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$10.04May 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.09May 9, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.10May 9, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00May 9, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.00May 9, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$2.50May 9, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$2.44May 9, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.93May 9, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.97May 9, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $17.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".