Great-Division
0x15620ec935d3e686c921b4e043e8d5e64a4dda6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.06
Total PnL
$-3.29
Realised
$-0.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.06
$0.03
- YES
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2025-11-29?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$189.75May 11, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$179.80May 11, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$190.05May 8, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$180.01May 8, 09:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 31, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$108.53Mar 30, 06:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 29, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$108.00Mar 28, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$107.24Mar 28, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$108.00Mar 28, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?$189.81Feb 26, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?$190.00Feb 24, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Konnor Ralph (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.04Feb 24, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Konnor Ralph (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 9, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMAster all time high by December 31?$1.28Feb 9, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$1.00Dec 26, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$0.07Dec 26, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$1.00Dec 26, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be less than 82%?$1.02Dec 26, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $54.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".