Poised-Polenta
0x15692550650de5817af4202681a4e38dcf34bf0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$47.0K
Total PnL
$4.1K
Realised
$-4.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
35773 shares @ 68.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$35.8K
$11.2K
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10972 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.1K
$38.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
89031 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.1K
$-710.65
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
4355 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.23May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.24May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.24May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.25May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.25May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.25May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.25May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.25May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.26May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.26May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.25May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.27May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.28May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.27May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.83May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.92May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.88May 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.11May 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.97Apr 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $4.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".