Ajar-Cummerbund
0x15815c0b7b0899705ffa440eee6e28301408d604
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$62.97
Total PnL
$-0.03
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?
34 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$33.68
$-0.02
- NO
Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
17 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$17.38
$-0.01
- NO
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.91
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$7.00May 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$6.36May 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$6.37May 18, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?$28.10May 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$7.89May 18, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$6.96May 18, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andres Castro be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?$9.76May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$6.05May 18, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andres Castro be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?$5.31May 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andres Castro be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?$15.09May 18, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$20.90May 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$6.94May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$17.78May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$6.70May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$4.10May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$6.95May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?$17.39May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?$20.98May 18, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 19?$15.63May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?$21.00May 17, 23:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".