0x1599a7ed8c2d3e550e9c5671ddc50bb5ff27fae9
0x1599a7ed8c2d3e550e9c5671ddc50bb5ff27fae9
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-411.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
862 shares @ 92.8¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$816.35
$16.35
- NO
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
461 shares @ 86.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$431.04
$31.04
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
226 shares @ 88.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$225.63
$25.63
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
679 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-264.08
- YES
Will US gain 200k-250k jobs in February?
286 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2024$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will US gain less than 200k jobs in February?
148 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2024$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$101.21Mar 18, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$102.78Mar 18, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$343.79Mar 18, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$400.00Mar 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$200.00Mar 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$500.00Mar 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$75.00Feb 10, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$75.00Feb 10, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$285.00Feb 9, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$300.00Feb 9, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$235.04Feb 9, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$344.83Feb 9, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$220.00Jan 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$100.00Jan 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$300.00Jan 12, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$264.08Nov 5, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US gain 200k-250k jobs in February?$60.00Mar 8, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US gain less than 200k jobs in February?$60.00Mar 8, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $218.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".