0x15af3f17fbaa35825118ebf6d93322732c939e32
0x15af3f17fbaa35825118ebf6d93322732c939e32
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
5233 shares @ 34.6¢·now 29.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$-241.75
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
776 shares @ 36.7¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$586.01
$301.01
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
5246 shares @ 16.8¢·now 11.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$577.01
$-302.49
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
17692 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$495.37
$-928.26
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
806 shares @ 45.9¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$423.34
$53.34
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
2704 shares @ 10.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$392.04
$108.62
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
17919 shares @ 8.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$331.51
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
5560 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$144.57
$-55.43
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
3210 shares @ 11.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$142.83
$-222.54
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
15682 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$141.14
$-256.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$370.00May 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$91.45May 9, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?$200.00May 8, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$283.43May 8, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$2.73May 8, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$350.00May 7, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$602.88May 4, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$175.00May 4, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1.0KMay 4, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$78.33May 4, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$633.92May 4, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$73.66May 4, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$1000.00May 2, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$167.26May 2, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$491.79May 1, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.0KApr 30, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$119.35Apr 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$258.94Apr 29, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$252.03Apr 25, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$500.00Apr 25, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $366.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".