Long-Crop
0x15d92a5d832bd5e4d16010d8701b660e4ff56c00
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$139.57
Total PnL
$-362.70
Realised
$-14.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
300 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$124.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
2337 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 30, 2026$10.52
$-266.24
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 5.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.55
$-0.75
- NO
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
12905 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.21
- NO
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
250 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$33.80May 7, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$3.80May 6, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.95May 6, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.50May 6, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$2.30May 6, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.26May 6, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$6.53May 6, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.25May 6, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.25May 6, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$15.00May 6, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$9.17May 5, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.97May 5, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.33May 5, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$5.59May 5, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.58May 5, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.68May 5, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$2.27May 5, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$2.49May 5, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.42May 5, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.02May 5, 20:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".