Quixotic-Case
0x15f914d0e42c5e79c6309150ecd651a8fb6a86c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$32.69
Total PnL
$-10.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
267 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.47
$0.47
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
214 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.32
$0.32
- YES
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-19?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-19?$2.05May 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?$1.02May 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-16?$1.03May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)$1.03May 16, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYShandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5$2.05May 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?$1.02May 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?$2.05May 16, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-16?$1.03May 16, 10:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBeijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5$0.00May 11, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-10?$0.00May 11, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.00May 11, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?$0.00May 11, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMShanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5$0.00May 11, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".