Loving-Conclusion
0x15fbd312f1925882ef83ba5aa69d7e2e5f6b252d
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3555 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-17.78
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
6406 shares @ 50.6¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-2.1K
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?
1194 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$280.59
$-113.43
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.78
$0.00
- YES
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.30
$-0.26
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.30
$-0.26
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.53
$-9.41
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?
9677 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?
3333 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
1752 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-753.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$46.73May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$59.83May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$49.83May 18, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$14.52May 18, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$33.37May 18, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$22.11May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$4.91May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$16.50May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$16.50May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$16.50May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$45.22May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?$68.00May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$244.38May 17, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$89.70May 17, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$24.19May 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$32.77May 17, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.67May 17, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$207.00May 17, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$282.04May 17, 01:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.64May 17, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $307.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".