Failing-Hound
0x15fc237296d80b51a62bb6d7777b1ae6b5c26155
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$788.84
Total PnL
$-249.00
Realised
$3.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
210 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$199.26
$-0.74
- NO
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
209 shares @ 95.7¢·now 90.6¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$189.42
$-10.58
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
279 shares @ 40.8¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$124.27
$10.27
- NO
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105 shares @ 94.9¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$96.08
$-3.92
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
340 shares @ 54.9¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$74.89
$-112.11
- NO
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 79.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$50.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
125 shares @ 63.9¢·now 35.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.73
$-35.27
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11 shares @ 92.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.76
$-0.24
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
510 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.16
- YES
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
136 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.87May 14, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$200.26May 7, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$200.29May 7, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.15May 7, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.30May 7, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$317.69May 7, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$22.99May 2, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$117.49May 2, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$309.89May 2, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$30.00Apr 27, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.00Apr 27, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$300.00Apr 27, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00Apr 11, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5$10.00Apr 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-11?$5.00Apr 10, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-11?$10.00Apr 10, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$100.00Apr 10, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$100.00Apr 10, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$13.16Apr 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$30.00Apr 10, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $46.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 22:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".