Finished-Wheel
0x1615086ace48440b0bc0da28a9dfc3d6e8208f2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$47.7K
Total PnL
$4.6K
Realised
$5.6K
Win rate
75%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.2K
$4.7K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
6754 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.4K
$-77.42
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
5114 shares @ 88.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$61.66
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
4548 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.4K
$-6.82
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
5266 shares @ 80.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$10.79
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
5639 shares @ 48.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.0K
$251.62
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.8K
$-4.7K
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?
2533 shares @ 78.3¢·now 71.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.8K
$-164.10
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
1000 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$989.50
$46.50
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
1100 shares @ 73.9¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$979.00
$166.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.80May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.79May 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.05May 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03May 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.05May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.81May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$45.57May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.24May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.52May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.28May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.40May 18, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".