Political-Average
0x16395cbde4b4c07a88efd8fe8dca1c672cfa1a62
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.6K
Total PnL
$491.74
Realised
$33.73
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2484 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$49.23
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
2219 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$46.06
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
917 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$900.95
$38.97
- NO
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
867 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$854.35
$30.35
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
1200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$600.00
$300.00
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
267 shares @ 92.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$261.26
$15.36
- NO
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
231 shares @ 86.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$220.84
$20.84
- YES
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
45 shares @ 49.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$44.58
$22.58
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
48 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.95
$0.24
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
8 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.02
$-4.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?$7.6KMay 18, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$3.3KMay 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$11.5KMay 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$2.2KMay 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$3.6KMay 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$22.45May 17, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.53May 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$5.08May 17, 18:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.78May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?$267.17May 15, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$870.81May 15, 00:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$15.59May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.80May 15, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$17.88May 14, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00May 14, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8.67May 14, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.90May 14, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.90May 14, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00May 14, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $162.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".