Variable-Pedal
0x163acb229897fd6a4b31b1680d6b6bd318566388
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$506.96
Total PnL
$-258.46
Realised
$13.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
587 shares @ 69.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$484.06
$78.06
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 32.9¢·now 66.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.03
$1.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.18May 16, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.08May 16, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?$1.02May 16, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?$1.00May 15, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$1.00May 15, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?$1.00May 15, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$409.99May 11, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$409.91May 11, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$358.82May 10, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$352.26May 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 10, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.00May 10, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$1.00May 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 10, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$1.00May 10, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 10, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.01May 9, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$715.00May 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$715.29May 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 9, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $192.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".