Flickering-Cousin
0x1643038efde95846b92b008e2efedca553296ec8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$212.90
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$-923.35
Win rate
25%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
58 shares @ 73.4¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$42.63
$0.03
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
50 shares @ 72.8¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$36.22
$0.11
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?
45 shares @ 61.9¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$33.35
$5.63
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
35 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$27.85
$-0.86
- YES
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
30 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$27.19
$-0.29
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
53 shares @ 30.6¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$14.09
$-2.17
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
42 shares @ 25.2¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$11.29
$0.73
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?
40 shares @ 31.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.29
$-2.34
- NO
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?
32 shares @ 40.8¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$7.04
$-6.01
- NO
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.97
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.68May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$5.04May 18, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$2.46May 18, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$4.70May 18, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$5.51May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$4.89May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$3.93May 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner$1.53May 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$1.11May 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$1.44May 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$6.49May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)$4.61May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$6.21May 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$8.36May 18, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Kudrivka win on 2026-05-16?$4.42May 18, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$3.60May 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$3.87May 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.55May 18, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above 2,150 on May 18, 2AM ET?$5.00May 18, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above 2,165 on May 18, 2AM ET?$5.00May 18, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".