Crisp-Iron
0x165c8e4a03dbec34dca1752baf97b80a629ed943
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$103.33
Total PnL
$-429.36
Realised
$8.94
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- NO
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
10 shares @ 73.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$9.99
$2.67
- NO
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$9.99
$4.29
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.10
$3.28
- NO
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.61
$2.79
- NO
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.56
$3.26
- YES
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?
18 shares @ 35.8¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.90
$0.31
- YES
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?
25 shares @ 47.8¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$6.26
$-5.48
- NO
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.17
$1.77
- YES
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
20 shares @ 45.7¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$-3.89
- NO
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.59
$0.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$200.00May 17, 18:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.13May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$94.84May 16, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.13May 16, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.08May 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.07May 16, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.82May 16, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$13.00May 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.30May 16, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$27.56May 16, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.09May 16, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$70.30May 16, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.90May 16, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.90May 16, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.96May 16, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMCBB mindshare all time high by March 31?$0.25May 16, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Francis Mauigoa be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$5.00May 16, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$5.00May 16, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$8.39May 16, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$11.25May 16, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $11.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".