Incredible-Nucleotide
0x168edeaa785bc3b22067ab4b073b55f4cb1daa56
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$10.76
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
681 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$680.66
$0.34
- CAMPBELL FIGHTING CAMELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
680 shares @ 86.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$340.00
$-244.80
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
126 shares @ 71.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$101.43
$11.97
- NO
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
27 shares @ 55.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$27.00
$11.90
- NO
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?
143 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.43
$-69.64
- YES
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
3 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.67
- UNDER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
1002 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-190.38
- NO
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
180 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-139.86
- YES
New pandemic in 2025?
159 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.23
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
125 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-38.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$190.38Apr 23, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$11.62Apr 11, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$105.42Apr 11, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$36.36Apr 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$171.72Apr 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$59.76Apr 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$85.68Apr 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$171.72Apr 10, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$181.80Apr 10, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$38.75Apr 10, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWaymo IPO before 2027?$100.32Apr 10, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$63.14Apr 9, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$361.13Apr 9, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$67.64Apr 9, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$499.20Apr 7, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$14.00Apr 3, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMNational T20 Cup: Karachi Region Whites vs Tbc A$25.50Apr 3, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$100.00Apr 3, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$41.87Mar 31, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$123.49Mar 31, 02:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $153.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".