Difficult-Judgment

• YES

  Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?

  50 shares @ 95.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jul 12, 2026

  $46.88

  $-0.82

• NO

  Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

  50 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 25, 2026

  $45.50

  $4.00

• YES

  Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

  50 shares @ 78.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $36.25

  $-2.75

• NO

  Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

  20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026

  $20.00

  $3.00

• NO

  Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?

  20 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027

  $19.52

  $0.42

• NO

  Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?

  20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027

  $18.00

  $0.80

• NO

  Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

  20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026

  $17.80

  $1.60

• NO

  Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?

  20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026

  $17.00

  $-0.40

• YES

  Blue wave in 2026?

  20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026

  $15.00

  $-1.60

• NO

  Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?

  100 shares @ 8.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026

  $6.50

  $-2.00

• REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22?$0.77Apr 3, 06:35 UTC
• REDEEMWill Amy Klobuchar vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?$20.00Apr 3, 06:35 UTC
• REDEEMWill Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?$20.00Apr 3, 06:35 UTC
• REDEEMGPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?$20.00Apr 3, 06:35 UTC
• REWARD$6.70Mar 28, 00:00 UTC
• REWARD$0.35Mar 28, 00:00 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?$39.30Mar 27, 16:31 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$41.20Mar 27, 16:31 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$1.32Mar 27, 05:23 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$1.32Mar 27, 05:22 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$0.48Mar 27, 05:22 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Tisza win at least 90 seats?$7.50Mar 27, 05:19 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.54Mar 27, 05:07 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.36Mar 27, 05:06 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.40Mar 27, 05:06 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.35Mar 27, 04:33 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.35Mar 27, 04:33 UTC
• TRADESELLWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$1.74Mar 27, 04:01 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$1.82Mar 27, 03:56 UTC
• TRADESELLWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$0.68Mar 27, 03:38 UTC

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