Embellished-Order
0x171d0e1a06764085e3a311789eea3fcde860ab33
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-15.72
Realised
$25.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
497 shares @ 80.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$464.86
$64.86
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
611 shares @ 46.8¢·now 33.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$204.78
$-81.07
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
272 shares @ 36.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$113.08
$13.08
- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
121 shares @ 84.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.96
$2.96
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
57 shares @ 87.6¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.28
$2.28
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
85 shares @ 59.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.87
$-2.13
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
38 shares @ 68.2¢·now 93.7¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$35.75
$9.75
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.03
$13.39
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.82
$2.82
- NO
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.92
$0.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$78.74May 17, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$13.16May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$87.41May 17, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$13.65May 17, 02:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$20.56May 16, 22:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $1.00May 13, 15:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$16.00May 12, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$12.82May 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.19May 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.11May 12, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.12May 12, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$51.07May 12, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$99.44May 12, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $22.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".