Flickering-Clipper
0x172481de57df4556c703e187adc05535038cc626
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$596.32
Total PnL
$51.85
Realised
$-2.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
901 shares @ 11.1¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$163.51
$63.51
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
88 shares @ 85.1¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.37
$-3.63
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
57 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.12
$3.12
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.09
$-0.91
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
70 shares @ 57.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.38
$8.38
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
45 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.63
$7.63
- NO
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
38 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.56
$0.56
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
28 shares @ 89.5¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.59
$0.59
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
27 shares @ 91.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.48
$0.48
- NO
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.76
$0.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$111.11May 12, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$53.53May 1, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$88.77May 1, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $24.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".