Elastic-Retrospect
0x176a843b4495d40c245614ea320a88a89a17a140
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$260.72
Total PnL
$-136.19
Realised
$5.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
182 shares @ 54.9¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.54
$7.54
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?
127 shares @ 79.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$80.38
$-19.62
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.12
$-0.88
- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
2222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.89
$-11.11
- YES
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.78
$-2.22
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
39 shares @ 25.9¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.41
$-4.59
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.61
$-3.39
- NO
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
1400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
348 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
49 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.01May 17, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.87May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.78May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$2.08May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$9.15May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.25May 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.29May 17, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.16May 17, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$4.45May 17, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$2.09May 17, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.04May 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.27May 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.17May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.19May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$27.15May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.01May 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.14May 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.12May 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.08May 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$10.96May 17, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".