Disguised-Microphone
0x17ae1e3441127f11566f319fcd217f12024d691b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$15.90
Total PnL
$-18.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Trump post "Big" or "Bigger" or "Biggest" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 80.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.82
$-3.18
- YES
Will 4 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$2.74May 18, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.67May 18, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$1.82May 17, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.67May 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Big" or "Bigger" or "Biggest" on Truth Social this week?$1.00May 17, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-17?$1.67May 17, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$1.01May 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.01May 16, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-17?$1.01May 16, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$2.38May 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$2.02May 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$2.01May 15, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$3.45May 14, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$1.23May 14, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.01May 13, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.01May 12, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$2.67May 12, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?$1.01May 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?$1.01May 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.01May 11, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".