Cold-Polyp
0x1861aa6308edc14b4177ce26bdc7108d6e4a0743
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.40
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Larry Rubin be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
201 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.40
$-2.00
- UNDER
Sabalenka vs. Mboko: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
428 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-324.99
- UNDER
Hannover 96 vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 3.5
362 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-229.72
- NO
Will Noetix Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
307 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.76
- OVER
Molde FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5
304 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-79.05
- YES
Will Martin Uldal (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
295 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.92
- UNDER
St. Louis City SC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5
289 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-66.43
- OVER
Brazil vs. France: O/U 4.5
283 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-65.12
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in January?
258 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.38
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
258 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Laura Loomer win the GA-14 special election?$146.50Apr 9, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. France: O/U 4.5$65.12Mar 22, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Valencia CF?$0.12Mar 21, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Valencia CF?$6.55Mar 21, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venstre win 25-29 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$11.16Mar 20, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Valencia CF?$0.10Mar 20, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Valencia CF?$0.42Mar 20, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$9.55Mar 20, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKyōto Sanga FC vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 4.5$20.58Mar 19, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Valencia CF?$0.10Mar 19, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Valencia CF?$0.15Mar 19, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 20, 2026?$11.18Mar 17, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis City SC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5$66.43Mar 17, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 13 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?$244.56Mar 17, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabalenka vs. Mboko: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$324.99Mar 12, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMolde FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5$79.05Mar 9, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$27.81Mar 8, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 13 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?$225.00Mar 7, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea win Pool C at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$25.25Mar 5, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYÇaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 4.5$40.48Mar 5, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $58.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".