First-Gift
0x189e7660f61e166734f75430fdd26fa40ed964c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$418.64
Total PnL
$47.18
Realised
$1.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
324 shares @ 45.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$215.76
$69.67
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 66.4¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$168.00
$-31.20
- YES
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?
18 shares @ 65.3¢·now 90.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.61
$4.62
- YES
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?
13 shares @ 63.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.42
$3.95
- NO
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.84
$-1.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$90.38Apr 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?$16.13Apr 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$131.26Apr 29, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpace FDV above $80M one day after launch?$1.57Apr 29, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSpace FDV above $40M one day after launch?$65.12Apr 29, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?$144.60Apr 28, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $100M committed to the Printr public sale?$17.88Apr 28, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?$40.50Apr 28, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?$165.00Apr 27, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$0.48Apr 27, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.12Apr 27, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Printr public sale?$29.00Apr 27, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?$58.59Apr 27, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpace FDV above $15M one day after launch?$199.98Apr 26, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?$88.77Apr 25, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMOver $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?$0.00Apr 25, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 25, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$14.44Apr 25, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$12.78Apr 25, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpace FDV above $15M one day after launch?$24.60Apr 25, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $33.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".