Buttery-Tangerine
0x189e947b2031f2e19ec8d9a0d6f0308ab5a889d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$291.74
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3912 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.5K
$537.94
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3912 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-537.94
- NO
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
194 shares @ 59.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$194.18
$78.47
- YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
176 shares @ 98.7¢·now 95.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$167.65
$-5.86
- NO
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$99.95
$10.95
- NO
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$92.00
$2.00
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$91.50
$2.50
- YES
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
300 shares @ 26.7¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$75.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
77 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$57.73
$8.47
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.82
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$1.75May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$23.25May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$27.00May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$28.00May 18, 12:23 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$200.00May 18, 11:36 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$200.00May 18, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$4.94May 18, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$47.19May 18, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$126.42May 18, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$89.00May 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$90.00May 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$50.15May 18, 11:17 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$500.00May 18, 11:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.53May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.53May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.53May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.53May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.44May 14, 00:10 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.8KMay 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$89.00May 12, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $126.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 20:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".