Simple-Bed
0x18de697a860f8a92b4b4a320bf3354b1e2f11f14
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$138.31
Total PnL
$-811.33
Realised
$8.13
Win rate
89%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.00
$35.00
- YES
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% and 2.99%?
210 shares @ 0.3¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$14.04
$13.36
- YES
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
416 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.74
$4.16
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
239 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.34
$-4.19
- YES
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2966 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.45
$-5.85
- YES
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2662 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.99
$-9.81
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
585 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.22
$1.46
- YES
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
530 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.91
$0.79
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.60
$0.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$2.00May 18, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$1.59May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.83May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.30May 16, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.03May 16, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$1.12May 16, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.03May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.04May 16, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.03May 16, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.07May 16, 03:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.08May 15, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$0.06May 15, 12:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.44May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%?$0.27May 14, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%?$0.01May 14, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Caruso finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.00May 14, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".