Lighthearted-Wardrobe
0x190445e1c9bac8f9f3243d110f930750daea2022
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$20.65
Total PnL
$-39.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.21
$3.21
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
54 shares @ 9.3¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.84
$-1.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.85
$-2.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.01May 18, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.08May 18, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.22May 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.01May 17, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.00May 17, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.79May 17, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.03May 16, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.02May 15, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.04May 15, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.14May 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.00May 14, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.01May 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.04May 11, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.14May 11, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.01May 10, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.04May 9, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.03May 8, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.00May 8, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$7.35May 8, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.11May 8, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".