0x1943a8f233f9f1b3c4de9d29d9aeabc07aef12f2
0x1943a8f233f9f1b3c4de9d29d9aeabc07aef12f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$40.81
Total PnL
$-9.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.01
$-1.99
- YES
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- YES
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.36
$1.36
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.25
$1.25
- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.15
$1.15
- YES
Will Little Joe escape again?
48 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
119 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.60
$-0.53
- YES
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 14.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.43
$-0.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMITF Bastad: Emma Kamper Malmkjaer vs Britt Du Pree$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMBordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump insult MBS by May 15?$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-05-16?$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-05-16?$0.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.00May 16, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Bastad: Emma Kamper Malmkjaer vs Britt Du Pree$1.02May 16, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-05-16?$1.03May 16, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-05-16?$1.03May 16, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$2.50May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?$1.05May 15, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?$1.05May 15, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".