Elated-Poll
0x194a6e343af34bcb4e97960774ea58b0115dd8a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$376.09
Total PnL
$1.31
Realised
$2.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?
181 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$179.55
$-0.45
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
181 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$178.27
$0.27
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
21 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.27
$-0.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$185.62May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$185.03May 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?$180.03May 17, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$178.00May 17, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$215.22May 17, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$310.31May 17, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$215.01May 8, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$310.02May 8, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$30.12May 8, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$90.17May 8, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$178.34May 8, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$192.93May 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$90.00Apr 21, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$192.00Apr 21, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$178.00Apr 21, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$168.48Apr 21, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$361.03Apr 21, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$360.00Apr 12, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$168.00Apr 12, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$76.14Apr 12, 06:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $170.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".