Indolent-Coincidence
0x19580c442085fb520ac9c56edc1a7a97fdf4310b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$-3.89
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
23762 shares @ 6.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$582.17
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
118179 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$531.80
$-64.41
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
44550 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$512.33
$-371.01
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
50902 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$483.57
$-226.06
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
34977 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$419.72
$-328.85
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
66100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$363.55
$-157.19
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
10480 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$193.88
$-433.40
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20070 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$150.53
$-174.35
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
34596 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.09
$-83.31
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
26800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.60
$-24.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$37.78May 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.32May 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.80May 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$34.00May 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.01May 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.60May 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.25May 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$28.73May 15, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.05May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.56May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.70May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.51May 15, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.10May 14, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.71May 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.85May 14, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.34May 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.10May 14, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$25.19May 14, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.71May 14, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.08May 14, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".