Costly-Housing
0x198622c26c35453e1d875e86d264e5db29650cd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$137.61
Total PnL
$-225.15
Realised
$-2.00
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
13 shares @ 73.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.32
$2.70
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.40
$1.56
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.92
$1.05
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
18 shares @ 53.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.53
$0.99
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.88
$0.13
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.77
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.75
$-0.13
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.66
$-0.14
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.59
$-0.35
- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
9 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$4.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.10May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$0.21May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$0.23May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $0.84May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$0.93May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$7.10May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$7.88May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$12.75May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$13.82May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$15.00May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$16.00May 12, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$18.46May 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$17.43May 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$23.68Apr 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$0.75Apr 28, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?$13.00Apr 27, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$7.50Apr 27, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.14Apr 27, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.16Apr 27, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.15Apr 27, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $6.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".