Appropriate-Donation
0x198cfe8247fa99499f211cb75f633c6ee78ba2e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$833.20
Total PnL
$38.72
Realised
$61.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
370 shares @ 43.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$212.63
$52.13
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$117.86
$17.86
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
658 shares @ 15.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$109.54
$9.54
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
179 shares @ 56.8¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.56
$-4.17
- YES
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
2750 shares @ 2.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$94.88
$28.88
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
323 shares @ 38.6¢·now 19.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$63.24
$-61.76
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$52.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$47.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.50
$-12.50
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
300 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 5, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 4, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 4, 15:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 1, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $73.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".