Quick-Fundraising
0x19974ce5980bae3d4c4d1a67cfce60c655492e36
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
167
Open notional
$59.7K
Total PnL
$-391.1K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 167- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
12068 shares @ 88.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.3K
$556.29
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
11042 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.4K
$502.41
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
8158 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$8.0K
$210.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
6262 shares @ 75.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.9K
$156.55
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4160 shares @ 83.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$428.83
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3360 shares @ 85.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$279.58
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4523 shares @ 60.9¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.9K
$128.91
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2461 shares @ 94.9¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.3K
$-38.15
- NO
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
2738 shares @ 80.2¢·now 83.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.3K
$75.91
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6185 shares @ 36.2¢·now 35.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$-16.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.77May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.78May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.78May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 15, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$2.4KMay 14, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$4.0KMay 14, 16:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.78May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.89May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$578.81May 9, 18:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.94May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.31May 8, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.01May 8, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.01May 8, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$46.02May 8, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$36.82May 8, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$86.79May 8, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$46.02May 8, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".