Earnest-Legging
0x19c5c602c4116c3f3d045ae8f13d42ea5bfe511d
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$429.56
Total PnL
$88.28
Realised
$4.15
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?
144 shares @ 13.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$134.86
$116.11
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2050 shares @ 2.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$99.42
$43.42
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
263 shares @ 19.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.89
$-18.83
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?
259 shares @ 7.7¢·now 10.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$27.58
$7.58
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?
77 shares @ 6.5¢·now 30.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$23.13
$18.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
313 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$17.37
$-2.63
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?
293 shares @ 4.7¢·now 5.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$16.54
$2.73
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?
106 shares @ 3.7¢·now 14.6¢·exp May 18, 2026$15.56
$11.59
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?
154 shares @ 6.5¢·now 8.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$13.70
$3.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?
868 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 23, 2026$11.28
$-1.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.92May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?$5.35May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$5.34May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?$5.35May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.19May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.20May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$10.67May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$21.31May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?$3.21May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?$25.12May 17, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$4.06May 17, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.60May 17, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?$10.65May 17, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?$5.34May 16, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?$5.34May 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?$21.29May 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$10.68May 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$21.77May 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$87.54May 15, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$5.33May 15, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".