Brave-Down
0x1a3a05d85e00f61b27d086796ff630b034ed2902
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$10.55
Total PnL
$-31.54
Realised
$2.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.27
$-0.73
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$-2.97
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.38
$-1.62
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
164 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
33 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.86
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Jan 18, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$4.65Jan 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell arrested by March 31?$1.00Jan 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?$4.00Jan 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$4.00Jan 12, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 12, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYX banned in U.K. by March 31?$1.00Jan 12, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$2.00Jan 11, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 11, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jan 10, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tread launch a token by March 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 10, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLX banned in U.K. by March 31?$0.39Jan 10, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLX banned in U.K. by March 31?$1.87Jan 10, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.00Jan 10, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYX banned in U.K. by March 31?$1.00Jan 10, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".