0x1a4c163a134d7154ebd5f7359919f9c439424f00
0x1a4c163a134d7154ebd5f7359919f9c439424f00
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$40.48
Total PnL
$16.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in May?
58 shares @ 2.7¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.87
$25.31
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 39.7¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.20
$0.34
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?
7 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.38
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-2.73
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
25 shares @ 29.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.14
$-6.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$6.00May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$4.05May 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$7.50May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.88May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$3.62May 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$0.00May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$2.60May 17, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.00May 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$4.48May 17, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$6.00May 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$4.23May 17, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$7.11May 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$4.46May 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$3.53May 17, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?$0.00May 16, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in May?$1.64May 16, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$6.00May 16, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$4.14May 16, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?$3.29May 15, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?$8.21May 15, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".