Honest-Fava
0x1a831935329dba31c9ca27e54d29abd9dc70a9a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-864.02
Realised
$2.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
83695 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$962.49
$44.53
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
43286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$281.36
$-21.64
- YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
101732 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$152.60
$-353.21
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
33735 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$151.81
$-173.16
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
714 shares @ 21.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.14
$-67.86
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
3192 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$22.34
$-77.65
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
482 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.84
$-13.24
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.31
$-2.69
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
870 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.52
$-13.48
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.92
$-15.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 12, 11:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$25.22May 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$24.41May 6, 07:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 2, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $18.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".