Fearful-Earthworm
0x1aa4fd40b8c31fb2b8cb9baf7d4347414b0f6795
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$788.48
Total PnL
$-33.51
Realised
$-0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?
300 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$300.00
$0.30
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
248 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$244.68
$4.58
- YES
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
200 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$189.00
$11.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.79
$14.79
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
2140 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.82
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
30 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?
12 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$20.74Feb 8, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$240.10Feb 1, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$299.70Feb 1, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?$178.00Jan 22, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$20.00Jan 15, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$15.00Jan 15, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$25.00Jan 15, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$10.82Jan 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$40.00Jan 15, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$2.45Dec 1, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$38.50Nov 25, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$9.00Nov 25, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$63.80Nov 23, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$35.00Nov 23, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$5.20Nov 21, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$1.13Nov 20, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$5.80Nov 20, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$5.80Nov 20, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$100.00Nov 19, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$91.53Nov 18, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $57.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 02:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".