Meager-Methane
0x1ade5b55b569a87ab459367ae92df2656ca915c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$956.52
Total PnL
$-113.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
1077 shares @ 81.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$899.63
$17.02
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
56 shares @ 89.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.78
$1.78
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.10
$-4.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
146 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-97.60
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
81 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$24.41May 17, 23:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$11.20May 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$4.95May 15, 07:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$9.24May 4, 23:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $49.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".