Unrealistic-Undershirt
0x1ae5c53ca477ee81ca9829a63145671fe964e9f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$16.94
Total PnL
$-43.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.76
$2.76
- YES
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
52 shares @ 3.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$3.93
$1.93
- YES
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
47 shares @ 4.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$3.67
$1.67
- YES
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.06
$1.06
- YES
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2.74May 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.00Apr 24, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$2.00Apr 24, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.00Apr 24, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$1.00Apr 24, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$1.00Apr 24, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2.00Apr 24, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$1.00Apr 12, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$1.00Apr 12, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$1.00Apr 12, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$1.00Apr 7, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$1.00Apr 7, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$1.00Apr 7, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 7, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 7, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?$1.00Apr 7, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.00Apr 6, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 6, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran nuclear test before 2027?$1.00Apr 6, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".