Fickle-Covariate
0x1b0e979539ce6772baba309b69dbe3fdc36af132
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$170.30
Total PnL
$-102.61
Realised
$-3.38
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
30 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.45
$0.67
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 28.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.65
$-9.35
- NO
Will Solana dip to $10 in May?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.98
$0.01
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
15 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$14.96
$0.04
- NO
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
15 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$14.47
$-0.01
- NO
Epic Games IPO before 2027?
16 shares @ 97.0¢·now 87.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.76
$-1.55
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.99
$0.01
- NO
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?
8 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$7.94
$-0.03
- NO
Canva IPO before 2027?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.53
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$45.37May 18, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 9?$0.00May 18, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on May 6?$0.00May 18, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 17?$0.00May 18, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$0.00May 18, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 18, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 17?$13.01May 18, 09:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$58.57May 17, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$62.87May 17, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$64.80May 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$66.51May 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?$67.23May 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$68.78May 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$68.86May 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$70.85May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$72.47May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?$73.24May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$76.76May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?$77.28May 17, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $55.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".