Intelligent-Carry
0x1b2c63b3e9dc2d552904d940705e990a6c5df03f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-19.6K
Realised
$-3.6K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
5259 shares @ 57.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.9K
$-81.18
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
8306 shares @ 14.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$706.05
$-493.95
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
25046 shares @ 9.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$388.22
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
6370 shares @ 6.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$219.76
$-180.24
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
39053 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
20423 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
11300 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
10792 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
10737 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.32May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$3.1KMay 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$400.00May 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$100.00Apr 27, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$500.00Apr 25, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$2.4KApr 25, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$1.2KApr 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$500.00Apr 13, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$500.00Apr 12, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$1.2KMar 25, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.2KFeb 9, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.4KJan 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.5KJan 12, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.9KOct 17, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$1000.00Oct 16, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$200.00Oct 9, 08:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".